Just posted this comment on the two blogs by scientists so far on the MEGA petition
Just been trying to get my head round the info at the link
@AndyPR posted:-
RESULTS:
After a mean follow-up of 2.7 years, 66 (58.9%) adolescents had recovered from CFS. Most adolescents who recovered directly after treatment with FITNET were still recovered at LTFU. At LTFU there was no difference between the recovery rates for the different treatment strategies (original randomization: FITNET [64%] versus any form of usual care [52.8%]). Per additional month of "pretreatment disease duration," the odds for recovery were 4% lower (odds ratio: 0.96; 95% confidence interval: 0.93-0.99; P = .016), and per added point on "focus on bodily symptoms" (Body Consciousness Scale) of the mother (0-20 points) the odds for recovery were 11% lower (odds ratio: 0.89; 95% confidence interval: 0.80-0.99; P = .029).
CONCLUSIONS:
The short-term effectiveness of Internet-based CBT on adolescent CFS is maintained at LTFU. At LTFU, usual care led to similar recovery rates, although these rates were achieved at a slower pace.
I do not understand all of this, but it
seems to be saying (but others please say if I am wrong):-
- In the short term, 64% showed recovery with FITNET.
- In the short term, 53% showed recovery with normal care.
- In the long term, 59% showed recovery, irrespective of care type.
- Most who recovered in the short term with FITNET, were in the 59% long term.
- Chances of recovery fall off sharply, the longer CFS had existed before treatment.
- In the long term there is no difference in recovery rates between FITNET and normal care, albeit CBT got there a bit quicker.
Cannot get my head round ...
"focus on bodily symptoms" (Body Consciousness Scale) of the mother
The headline 66% CBT cure, to me at least, sounds like lying by omission? Got a feeling there might be other omissions.
Would be good if some folks who really know their stuff can pick the bones out of all this.
EDIT: 22.42, 1 Nov 16: I think this link suggests my figures above may be wrong. Do the two different sources disagree? Or just my understanding of them?