I think the point Cort is making is about MLVs as well as XMRV.
If one assumes that at least some of the CDC's samples were stored correctly (they were taken at different timees including after Suzanne Vernon left), we have data from that group on the prevalence in another cohort - Switzer et al found 0% and Lo/Alter found 0%. Of course, I think most of the CDC cohort shouldn't be seen as CFS cases at all because of the empiric definition. But maybe around 10% are Fukuda cases although maybe high functioning. Cort is pointing we have data on these.
The numbers are small of course, once one throws out the patients who would satisfy the empiric (Reeves) criteria but who wouldn't satisfy the Fukuda or Holmes criteria.
Wouldn't see see some prevalence (perhaps not as large as 4-7%) in these samples? It seems to come up with zero we go beyond just cohort issues.
The other two options that occur to me for Lo/Alter coming up with nothing would have to include blood collection/storage and/or a problem with Lo/Alter finding XMRV. I do find it curious that Lo/Alter found no XMRV in:
- 37 CFS patients in their study
- 44 healthy controls in their study
-
34 samples from the Switzer study
Zero for
115 is pretty striking for XMRV alone.
If I accurately recall Lo's email to you, they found 0/34 (3 indeterminate) for the polytropic MLVs in the Switzer samples as well.
My unscientific slant is that Vernon's observation about the non-use of sodium heparin tubes
could very well play a role in finding no MLVs in the Switzer samples. I'm not sure if sample swapping with the WPI (or others?) occurred and that is seems somewhat possible that Lo/Alter may have a sensitivity issue in detecting XMRV. If so, it could easily drive the overall positive rates north of 90% which would line up well with WPIs non-published numbers.
I recognize regional differences are likely but I'm not sure that can account for this drastic of a result. I certainly agree with Alter that we need larger studies - glad to know they're on the way.
ETA: I got my Switzer numbers wrong. Fixing....
ETA2: Changes made are in
italics and Dolphin, I totally respect the math you've done - you've put a great deal of effort collecting and documenting the data. My perspective is not comparatively documented so it's a FWIW deal. I'm mostly interested in the XMRV slant on this.