Here's a theory for outbreaks (Those with more medical/biology knowledge than I have are welcome to tell me I'm full of it. )
Suppose XMRV is transmissable via respiratory secretions, but not strongly so. Other than direct blood-to-blood contact, the infection rate is 1 infection to 10 exposures at most with HIV. Suppose again, that XMRV infection rate is 1 infection to 100 or 1000 exposures and that respiratory secretions are only infectious during some stages of the infection. Then most people's chance of getting infected is relatively small, even when they've been exposed.
We know that a number of factors can affect the immune system in such a way that it doesn't perform optimally -- stress, infection, etc.
Now imagine a small close community where people are together for large periods of time -- schools, hospitals, orchestras (wind instrument players get extra credit for sharing their respiratory secretions with everybody around ). It takes 1 person with XMRV in a highly infectious stage and a group-wide immune function reducing condition (a bad flu, HHV-6A) to spread the infection much more than might normally be seen. This would be especially true if the more infectious stage of XMRV was early in the infection. Then you might have several infectious people in close quarters at the same time.
In summary, I'm speculating that it may take XMRV in a more infectious stage plus an overlapping virus plus close quarters to make an outbreak.
I know, by that logic we should see more significant other cases...... *sigh*
But are there any huge flaws in my outbreak theory?
XMRV may be infectious at different stages of it's life cycle, it may need another virus/infection/event to activate it. It may be infectious at different times in different ways.
We need more research.
After acute viral onset ME in the eighties, including being bedbound for many years, I had a period of what I thought was 90% recovery but turned out to be remission that lasted about seven years or so. Now I am housebound again after a series of mini-relapses that turned into a big relapse. :worried:
I don't think this is uncommon. If XMRV = ME, how can people get very substantial remissions after years of severe illness? Is it plausible that the body could drive a retrovirus into even partial submission on its own? I received no treatment, just rested a lot.
Sorry if this has been discussed elsewhere! The XMRV topic has got very big!
Here's a theory for outbreaks (Those with more medical/biology knowledge than I have are welcome to tell me I'm full of it. )
Suppose XMRV is transmissable via respiratory secretions, but not strongly so. Other than direct blood-to-blood contact, the infection rate is 1 infection to 10 exposures at most with HIV. Suppose again, that XMRV infection rate is 1 infection to 100 or 1000 exposures and that respiratory secretions are only infectious during some stages of the infection. Then most people's chance of getting infected is relatively small, even when they've been exposed.
We know that a number of factors can affect the immune system in such a way that it doesn't perform optimally -- stress, infection, etc.
Now imagine a small close community where people are together for large periods of time -- schools, hospitals, orchestras (wind instrument players get extra credit for sharing their respiratory secretions with everybody around ). It takes 1 person with XMRV in a highly infectious stage and a group-wide immune function reducing condition (a bad flu, HHV-6A) to spread the infection much more than might normally be seen. This would be especially true if the more infectious stage of XMRV was early in the infection. Then you might have several infectious people in close quarters at the same time.
In summary, I'm speculating that it may take XMRV in a more infectious stage plus an overlapping virus plus close quarters to make an outbreak.
I know, by that logic we should see more significant other cases...... *sigh*
But are there any huge flaws in my outbreak theory?
In summary, I'm speculating that it may take XMRV in a more infectious stage plus an overlapping virus plus close quarters to make an outbreak.
I know, by that logic we should see more significant other cases...... *sigh*
But are there any huge flaws in my outbreak theory?
Or maybe it is the coinfections that generate the symptoms in some cases. Perhaps in the initial stages. Patient then goes into remission if immune system gets on top of coinfection. Over time XMRV builds up in brain and begins to come into its own.
Or maybe it's that coinfection + XMRV = PEM.
One aside, on the matter of coinfections, if CFS people have on average 30 active(?) viruses, where are the symptoms?
Lots of patients have the symptoms.
The discussion seems to have moved onto epidemiology (no problem, it's v interesting and I've been wondering about that stuff too) but does anyone have more thoughts on my original question? :Retro smile:
You put that really well sickofcfs
The important thing to remember, is that XMRV can explain this disease. The question of whether it does is now back with researchers. Our job, as patients and careers, is to fight for research, they may not be happening. Hopefully by Tuesday this will have changed a little.