flex
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flex,
your apple experiment didn't really follow those steps. The main one is that background research would have shown you that there are certain defining characteristics of an apple. Probably genetics are the best tool to use today. But the smell, taste etc. aren't how you identify an apple. Also, what examinations did your team of scientists do?
As far as the UK studies... watertight, I definitely didn't say that. And usefulness, I agree, not particularly useful. But still science by definition. Science can be done well, and it can be done poorly. WPI did it exceedingly well, and the UK teams did it somewhat poorly. Well below the standard set by the WPI.
I think the big problem is bias. I think Gerwyn's post about the hypothetico deductive model was largely trying to address that. That model is a description of the classic scientific method which tries to address some of the problems inherent in the classic model...bias being one of them.
If, for example, the suspicions of some of us (definitely including myself) that the IC study was biased are true, then it would not be science. Even by the classic model. The act of setting a goal (ie; to not find XMRV) and designing a 'study' to achieve that goal is not science. A hypothesis is not a goal, it is an educated guess. But for now we have no 'proof' that is what occurred, so we have to (unfortunately) treat it as science.
As far as the conclusions, I was wrong. I said the conclusions of the two studies were that those methods can't find it. But really the only conclusions are that they didn't find it. I made an assumption it was there based on the fact that we know that it is in the UK from the commercial testing.
BTW Gerwyn, I looked for the statement about replication in the IC study and didn't see it.
Julius my post was not aimed critically at any of your posts or Gerwyns. In fact I'm not even sure I read yours.
I was simply pointing out the difference between something that is considered useful in terms of a scientific experiment and something that carries no useful conclusion. That's why I used the apple analogy. For the very reason that it was a purposeless and flawed experiment in comparison to the WPI example. However well you could carry out the "apple" experiment, it is still of no value when trying to replicate findings from the WPI study.
I have read a number of professionals stating they could find no flaw in any study so far. The point is they need to look at what is being measured and for what purpose otherwise non confirmatory conclusions are pointless.
Oh, and just to confirm, I didn't really do a scientific experiment on an apple today and I didn't commission a team of scientists to carry out a study on the non existent apple. That would have been a waste of money and reported nothing useful.
Now that rings a bell!!