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..and wonder if the lockdown with this virus will show to have any positive effect at all.
China
Philippines
Hongkong
Spain
Japan
France
Taiwan
Iran
South Korea
Italy
USA
As far as I know Hongkong, Japan, Taiwan and South Korea all haven't had a draconian lock-down (combined at only 0.4 times the usual mortality rate!) as all the other countries. While Spain and Italy did.
I am starting to have serious doubts about the way things are being done in the UK. The London Underground is still running so there are many thousands mixing every day. I also think that the full facts about who is likely to become critical and how the infection is spread are not being revealed. And looking at the infection and death rates in Italy and Spain, that have continued to rise despite lockdown, think it is probable the disease is mainly being spread by medical staff. Yes @Wayne Aisian countries are better placed to deal with an outbreak like this.Sometimes I am drawn into the same direction and wonder if the lockdown with this virus will show to have any positive effect at all.
And looking at the infection and death rates in Italy and Spain, that have continued to rise despite lockdown, think it is probable the disease is mainly being spread by medical staff. .
The S. Koreans knew how important their achievement was, and immediately offered their assistance and diagnositic testing capabilities to other countries, with the U.S. being the one I'm most aware of.
https://milano.corriere.it/notizie/...te-c9dc43a6-f5d1-11e7-9b06-fe054c3be5b2.shtml
Milan, intensive therapy for the collapse of the flu: already 48 seriously ill patients many operations postponed
Difficulties in receiving new patients, suspended bookings for resuscitation beds intended to receive patients after operations, extraordinary shifts (free) for doctors and nurses called back from vacation. Appeal of the doctors to the Region
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Record numbers. The complications of the flu, especially pneumonia, are causing a crisis in resuscitations: 48 cases of seriously ill patients hospitalized from Christmas to the present day in the intensive care units of Policlinico, San Raffaele, San Gerardo di Monza and San Matteo di Pavia, the reference hospitals in Lombardy for the use of Ecmo, the machine that replaces the lungs. The problems overlap: difficulty in welcoming new patients, postponement of scheduled surgeries and suspended bookings for the resuscitation beds intended to accommodate the patients after the operations, extraordinary shifts (free) for doctors and nurses called back from vacation. A serious situation that leads doctors to ask for the help of the Health Department led by Giulio Gallera and to regret the choice made by Health Minister Beatrice Lorenzin to no longer allocate funds to the Italian network of Ecmo (the 20 million euros financed in 2009 by the then Minister Ferruccio Fazio).
Giuseppe Foti, at the head of the San Gerardo Emergency of Monza, sums it up: "Three patients hospitalized until December 22, 6 from December 22 to 31, 8 from January 1 to date. The problem is serious. From this week we are forced to suspend the reservation of beds in intensive care for surgical patients with scheduled interventions". Federico Pappalardo, head of the intensive care unit at San Raffaele, admits: "Today other non-urgent operations will be missed". Giacomo Grasselli, medical director of resuscitation at the Policlinico, is in the same situation: "The risk of postponing elective surgery for patients who need post-operative care in intensive care is a problem on the agenda". Giorgio Antonio Iotti, head of intensive care at San Matteo di Pavia, widens his arms: "Patients with severe pneumonia and major complications caused by the influenza virus are occupying as many as a quarter of our 21 beds".
To overcome the problem, according to the doctors, the intervention of the Lombardy Region is urgent: the Pirellone is called into question because today there is no recognized coordination, also economically, of the work of the four hospitals. Alberto Zangrillo, director of the emergency department of the San Raffaele, attacks: "The truth is that Minister Lorenzin has not taken care at national level to refinance the project, putting Lombardy in particular in difficulty, a region on which the work of the other regions is also unloaded because of the high level of the centers". Grasselli insists: "The centralization of the sick who need Ecmo literally allows to save the lives of patients who would otherwise die". And the thought of the doctors, gathered on Monday at the Polyclinic to examine what to do, goes to the new mother who risked her life two days after giving birth, at the beginning of January, for a very serious respiratory insufficiency following the flu and now in good condition thanks to Ecmo. The same happened to a little girl, who was severely aggravated as a result of fever and cough. The worst was also feared for her: "But our intervention with the machine that replaces the lungs saved her". A great commitment, a tremendous effort, which now makes the institutions ask for recognition. To save more lives.
In the meantime, the blood emergency is spreading, due to the flu virus that prevents many donors from going to the collection centres. After the appeal of the Polyclinic, the virologist Roberto Burioni reports difficulties also at San Raffaele, with surgery suspended due to the shortage of blood. And he invites the citizens to give their contribution.
10 January 2018 | 07:56
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I thought this article was excellent in explaining many of the mortality rate bias among countries.
https://www.bbc.com/future/article/20200401-coronavirus-why-death-and-mortality-rates-differ
As far as I know Hongkong, Japan, Taiwan and South Korea all haven't had a draconian lock-down (combined at only 0.4 times the usual mortality rate!) as all the other countries.