I'm watching it too - it got a little less boring since you posted.
As far as the semantics go, I just looked up 'pathogen' to check, and as I thought, there's no requirement in the definition for it to be circulating in humans for it to be 'pathogenic', the only requirement is that it causes disease. It would be pathogenic in humans even if it weren't communicable from human to human. I would say it can be a human pathogen even if no humans are or ever have been infected by it. Smallpox is a human pathogen but it is not circulating in humans.
That is fundamentally why saying "XMRV is not a human pathogen" and claiming that it is 'impossible' for it to be a human pathogen is overreaching the evidence enormously. You could say it is 'highly unlikely' that it is 'currently circulating in humans' and 'there is no evidence that it causes any human disease', and there would be much less to take issue with; there would be no fundamental logical flaw in statements like that. And I don't understand why scientists in this area are so prone to making definitive statements about what is 'absolutely impossible' when the rest of the time it's so hard to get them to say anything without a thousand qualifications, ifs, buts, maybes and "more-research-is-needed"s.
Well, OK, although I say I don't understand, I think I have a good idea of why. The controversy has been difficult and embarrassing for a lot of people and there are many reasons why people want to stamp it out and put an end to the public discussion of the issue, so that makes them prone to over-stating their case. And specifically it is now especially important to assert that XMRV is not pathogenic to humans in order to allay fears that a human pathogen may have been created accidentally in the lab. It's similarly important - in quite a deep way, psychologically speaking, as well as politically - to emphasise that 'there is no evidence' that any similar lab-created retroviruses that replicate efficiently in human cells have ever infected real humans or caused disease in humans, and it's similarly important to persecute and ridicule anybody who suggests that they might have. That's especially important to do because we know that the processes which can create such novel viruses and retroviruses have been standard practice in labs for several decades, so the idea that any of these potential lab-created pathogens might actually be real live pathogens is profoundly, profoundly disturbing. And don't even dare to think about where such pathogens might have spread to from their lab environment...
I could also take issue with 'if it was a circulating pathogen it would have been found by now' because there are too many assumptions in that statement as well; I would prefer a 'probably' in there as well and it's a massive assumption to think that widespread lab-created contaminants can't be at the same time be pathogenic and non-communicable. But I would rather leave it to others to get into those arguments really; I am sticking to my argument that comments like "XMRV is not a human pathogen" and "that hypothesis has been disproved by..." are going too far. If we accept that XMRV has never successfully infected a real live human being, then how can we say it definitely wouldn't be pathogenic if it did? And if it's "definitely not a pathogen" then what exactly are these "biosafety biohazards" that these papers are still warning about?
As far as the semantics go, I just looked up 'pathogen' to check, and as I thought, there's no requirement in the definition for it to be circulating in humans for it to be 'pathogenic', the only requirement is that it causes disease. It would be pathogenic in humans even if it weren't communicable from human to human. I would say it can be a human pathogen even if no humans are or ever have been infected by it. Smallpox is a human pathogen but it is not circulating in humans.
That is fundamentally why saying "XMRV is not a human pathogen" and claiming that it is 'impossible' for it to be a human pathogen is overreaching the evidence enormously. You could say it is 'highly unlikely' that it is 'currently circulating in humans' and 'there is no evidence that it causes any human disease', and there would be much less to take issue with; there would be no fundamental logical flaw in statements like that. And I don't understand why scientists in this area are so prone to making definitive statements about what is 'absolutely impossible' when the rest of the time it's so hard to get them to say anything without a thousand qualifications, ifs, buts, maybes and "more-research-is-needed"s.
Well, OK, although I say I don't understand, I think I have a good idea of why. The controversy has been difficult and embarrassing for a lot of people and there are many reasons why people want to stamp it out and put an end to the public discussion of the issue, so that makes them prone to over-stating their case. And specifically it is now especially important to assert that XMRV is not pathogenic to humans in order to allay fears that a human pathogen may have been created accidentally in the lab. It's similarly important - in quite a deep way, psychologically speaking, as well as politically - to emphasise that 'there is no evidence' that any similar lab-created retroviruses that replicate efficiently in human cells have ever infected real humans or caused disease in humans, and it's similarly important to persecute and ridicule anybody who suggests that they might have. That's especially important to do because we know that the processes which can create such novel viruses and retroviruses have been standard practice in labs for several decades, so the idea that any of these potential lab-created pathogens might actually be real live pathogens is profoundly, profoundly disturbing. And don't even dare to think about where such pathogens might have spread to from their lab environment...
I could also take issue with 'if it was a circulating pathogen it would have been found by now' because there are too many assumptions in that statement as well; I would prefer a 'probably' in there as well and it's a massive assumption to think that widespread lab-created contaminants can't be at the same time be pathogenic and non-communicable. But I would rather leave it to others to get into those arguments really; I am sticking to my argument that comments like "XMRV is not a human pathogen" and "that hypothesis has been disproved by..." are going too far. If we accept that XMRV has never successfully infected a real live human being, then how can we say it definitely wouldn't be pathogenic if it did? And if it's "definitely not a pathogen" then what exactly are these "biosafety biohazards" that these papers are still warning about?