Great job Cort!
In response to the questions raised it is pretty clear who is getting more specific and who continues to make things as vague as possible. In ordinary disputes, this is a good indication of where you find facts and where opinions.
(Question for fred: when Dr. Kerr "decided to withdraw" did he jump or was he pushed?)
Beyond the immediate questions I think we are seeing a paradigm shift in medical research. Most infectious diseases have had characteristics which make it easy to identify them: distinctive pathogens, rapid replication, cell death. We are now seeing a pathogen which is 95% homologous to endogenous sequences in humans and 94% homologous to a foreign endogenous sequence. The disease where this was discovered, prostate cancer, has a very long course, with a great deal of evidence showing years of inflammation prior to onset. If this pathogen is responsible, it must have a very low rate of replication. There is remarkably little evidence of any cell death attributable to XMRV. This has real relevance for detection and immune activation.
All these attributes violate common assumptions about pathogens, but these are not axioms carved in stone. We are getting an education regarding which researchers are actually thinking, and which are operating by conditioned response.
Common inbred strains of the laboratory mouse that are susceptible to infection by mouse xenotropic gammaretroviruses and the human derived XMRV.
Baliji S, Liu Q, Kozak CA.
Laboratory of Molecular Microbiology, National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases Bethesda, MD 20892.
Abstract
Laboratory mouse strains carry endogenous copies of the xenotropic leukemia viruses (X-MLVs), named for their inability to infect cells of the laboratory mouse. This resistance to exogenous infection is due to a nonpermissive variant of the XPR1 gammaretrovirus receptor, a resistance that also limits in vivo expression of germline X-MLV proviruses capable of producing infectious virus.
They carry MLV's from way back they they have changed the receptor MLV's need to get in - so they can't infect from the outside
Because laboratory mice vary widely in their proviral content and in virus expression pattern, we screened inbred strains for sequence and functional variants of the XPR1 receptor. We also typed inbred strains and wild mouse species for an endogenous provirus, Bxv1, that is capable of producing infectious X-MLV (!) and that also contributes to the generation of pathogenic recombinant MLVs.
We identified the active Bxv1 provirus in many common inbred strains and in some Japanese M. molossinus mice,
its possible that many mice can produce infectious MLV's - they are carriers
Our screening for Xpr1 variants identified the permissive Xpr1(sxv) allele in 7 strains of laboratory mice including a Bxv1 positive strain, F/St, which is characterized by lifelong X-MLV viremia. Cells from three strains carrying Xpr1(sxv), SWR, SJL and SIM.R, were shown to be infectible by X-MLV and XMRV;
Laboratory mice have a receptor which does allow them to get infected by XMRV and they found which cells can get infected - XMRV can infect these mice (but does it?). Someone apparently looked at a lot of mice and couldn't find it......another XMRV conundrum
I agree about Weiss - his was a cautionary tale but not a very rigorous appraisal of the facts surrounding XMRV. It was more like an essay than anything and I'm surprised it's been mentioned so much.
My understanding is that 1.6 m grant from the NIH was produced before XMRV and was devoted to other things. Has Dr. Kerr actually decided to withdraw from ME research? I hope not - he did some pretty compelling research.
Thanks for the missed word - it was easy to fill in
Dr Kerr has lost/will lose his job at Georges because of cut-backs, I believe. It is not a popular viewpoint but I don't rate Kerr's work that highly and was quite surprised to see him working with the WPI. In particular, his cohort selection was highly criticised as were certain collaborations with Wessely and the psychiatric contingent.
I thought I read on this board some time back that he'd decided to withdraw from XMRV research, not ME research - can't remember who said it or what made them think so, though.
Was it chance that losing that job meant it would be impossible for him to collaborate with Dr. Mikovits on work for which there was already an NIH grant? The grant is only useful to someone with a position and a laboratory. It looks very much as if there is an unsubtle effort in progress to isolate WPI and Mikovits, cut off funding, and even make it impossible for them to complete previously-funded research.Kerr didn't lose his job because he researched ME. He lost his job because of cut backs across the board...
I honestly believe that people are reading too much into Kerr losing his job. He was not a high profile researcher at Georges and so would have struggled to justify his position given the cuts that many have felt the brunt of, not just his department.
I also don't see why not being at Georges would prevent Kerr working with the WPI. If he was that committed, then he could have worked with them in the US.
There is a tendency in the ME community to assume that every action taken by the authorities is in some way meant to scupper us. Whilst this may on occasions be true, I just don't see it with Kerr. He lost his job because of cost cuts and may even have been relieved to be out of the ME spotlight. He seems like a pretty inoffensive kind of chap but not made of the stuff of Mikovits, and her mettle is the kind that is required to ride the storms we're now going through.
Still losing Dr. Kerr is a blow when we have so few good researchers. The one thing he did manage to do which no one else was able to do was duplicate his gene expression results - this was the first time that any gene expression results were validated - a big deal in a field that was awash in inconsistency.
I don't know if Dr. Mikovits will work with Kerr again even if they use the WPI's laboratory. Its a shame - the WPI has not been getting its grant proposals funded; whether its because of jealousy, payback to her for her outspokenness, prejudice or whatever, Dr. Kerr appears to know how to write good grants and get them funded. Its a shame they don't appear, at this point, to be not working together - but we shall see.
He didn't exactly duplicate his results. The second round of tests showed slightly different sub-types to the first and, to my knowledge, there has never been a published explanation of the reasons why.
I spent some time recutting the public domain data from Kerr's second study and did not find anything that was startlingly new or overwhelmingly conclusive in terms of a breakthrough finding. Indeed, the results from the cross regional cohorts showed dubious inconsistencies, possibly because of the widely differing sample sizes, possibly because of potential differences in cohort selection, or both.
You could also argue that Kerr's research is downstream of aetiology. For example, if you look at the phenotypes which Dr Esther Crawley is studying in children (musculoskeletal; migraine; sore throat) you could argue that these are simply symptoms of the same aetiology and, whilst they may be useful for researching symptom treatments, they may never shine a light on the underlying cause of these symptoms and why they present so differently across patients.
Bear in mind that none of Kerr's grants have come from the UK Medical Research Council, even though he sits on their CFS/ME Expert Group, and so his grant applications to the country's main funding institution have never been successful (if, indeed, he has submitted any at all to them). Most of his funding has come from the CFS Foundation (whose website has been unavailable for months) and ME Research UK (who, it has been suggested, struggles to get researchers to take on ME work).
Kerr didn't lose his job because he researched ME. He lost his job because of cut backs across the board.
great summary cort! I hope the NIH's rejection of 6 WPI grant proposals since last Oct has more to do with legitimate uncertainty on how to regard the negative studies rather than an agenda to distance themselves from the institute, scandalous history with the CDC notwithstanding.
I'm gonna be on pins and needles until the BWG results come out! It seems like that's really gonna be the tipping point, like you said, for better or worse. It's never good to have our future riding on one bet, but it's seems like things are either really gonna get rolling after that or there will be some major headwinds for researching funding going forward. Yikes.
This could easily be true but she should never say this in public, it is just stupid. If she wants to respected in the research community, get papers published, and get grants she needs to stop spreading rumors. Don't bite the hand that feeds you, if she is right about XMRV we will all know with time, there are far to many highly respected researchers hard at work in the labs to not get to the bottom of this. Getting funding and researchers interested in CFS is in large part a image problem the illness has, discussing conspiracy theories and rumors in at a large venue is no way to help that image problem.Rumor is that the National Cancer Institute (NCI) has been told by someone high up in the government to pursue whether XMRV is involved in prostate cancer but should distance themselves from CFS. Though I hate to believe something like this could actually happen, the speaker from NCI at CFSAC last week was the one who suggested that contamination might be responsible for the positive XMRV results in CFS. Dr. Mikovitz said that person has seen all of the data proving contamination is impossible.
The prevailing theory seems to be this: if the CDC confirms that XMRV, a new, dangerous, and transmissible retrovirus, is present in people with CFS (and the CDC has estimated the number of adults in the US with CFS to be 4 million), then they have a huge public health crisis on their hands.
That's just sad. He was one of the best the british had in ME/CFS.
Cort said:A bit overwhelmed by Dr. Weiss's presentation I said "It was mostly about contamination but I thought he did well".