Nobody knows the exact percentage of severe patients, because no proper research has been done. Similarly we don't even have a definition of severe that is robust. There is no point in debating this issue much, and if we have to pick a figure why not 25%? - as long we we remember its an estimate at best.
We don't even know for sure if ME involves a growing population. Anecdotally it seems to be spreading, but thats not proof. Epidemics are typically not reported, but yes they do still occur - they have other names now, such as post-SARS syndrome and post-Q fever syndrome, just as we used to have post-polio syndrome. The best indication I have is that the population of ME patients in Canada doubled in 10 years, which I read recently somewhere, though this could in theory just be from better diagnosis and reporting. This is a Canadian official claim, I think. If this is the case, and its likely to be highly inaccurate, this equates to a spread rate at 7% per year. Thats high. That means the old 17 million figure is more likely to be about 34 million now (or more), and in ten years it could be 68 million, and in twenty years it could be 136 million. This of course presumes that there is no limiting factor that will halt the spread, such as only a specific subgroup in the population is vulnerable due to genetics. However let them try to ignore it when our tens of millions becomes hundreds of millions. At some point the political and medical authorities will have to take notice. Of course its also possible that its the misdiagnosis rate that is going up.
Exercise intolerance typically refers to immediate problems with exercise. We can get that but its not PEM. PEM is perhaps a delayed intolerance response. The physiology seems to include altered hormones and a marked decline in energy production, sometimes a severe decline (where I mean potentially over 20% decline in people who already have energy issues). Those hormone changes probably are connected to some of the symptoms, but I don't think we know the full story yet. There also appear to be pH changes and cerebral blood flow changes, but I would like to see research on this focussed on subgroups other than OI, not just OI.
This is not primarily an advocacy forum. Sure, we discuss advocacy, sometimes intensely. I agree that the formost view to keep in mind is this is a place for very sick people to communicate with others who might understand. It needs to be a safe place. There is of course an advocacy subforum, which is a better place for more robust debate.
There are provisions for more robust debate here other than that though. Private conversations and indeed private groups can offer this. Only a minority are interested in intense robust debate, it would be easy to set up a private group to debate a specific topic.
I do wonder though if its not time for there to be an advocates only forum somewhere, some place that debate and discussion from those actively engaged in advocacy might be encouraged and enhanced?