If Professor John Oxford thinks coronavirus is nothing more serious than seasonal flu, he would need to explain:
• Why in seasonal winter influenza epidemics, hospitals around the world are not overrun with very sick patients, whereas at present it is hell in many hospital ICUs, with the medical staff absolutely exhausted, physically and emotionally, by the sheer volume of sick patients and deaths. And it is going to get a lot worse over the coming weeks.
• Why in Italy over 100 doctors and nurses have died of coronavirus so far while they were trying to help sick and dying coronavirus patients. In the UK there have been 5 medical staff deaths so far. I don't think you get medics dying while treating influenza patients.
Yeah, it looks to me like someone sitting in their ivory tower playing with numbers and statistics, a bit like the PACE authors did. Would be nice to have one of these people visit a hospital in Bergamo or New York and see if they'd reassess their "model". Even the Nordic countries are all having problems with converting enough intensive care places for the COVID-19 patients. The number of intensive care beds over here has been tripled in preparation for this epidemic and it looks like it still won't be enough. Poor preparedness, one might say, as some countries like Germany has quite a bit more hospital beds per 1000 persons (source), but it just shows that this kind of capacity was never previously needed.