I thought there was room for optimism.
I think there probably is room for optimism, but we've seen so much dishonesty that we're cynical and we've learned not to take things at face value.
I have been thinking a lot about the CBT trials this week. What has hit me forcibly, for various reasons, is how off target much of the discussion is. The simple fact is that because of the nature of the therapeutic modality, the fact that it was unblinded and the choice of subjective primary outcome the PACE trial tells us nothing.
I see the discussion has moved on since you made this point, but I just wanted to say that if things were that simple, the Lancet wouldn't have published the study in the first place and then wouldn't have defended it. If we'd only made that simple argument against PACE, we'd have been completely ignored, and so we were reduced to arguing our case on their terms. As you have pointed out, we have made headway with this approach. The non-blinding issue is the central flaw, but I think a cultural shift needs to take place, and is slowly taking place, before psychological trials are held to the same standards as other clinical trials. Our community couldn't single-handedly have caused that cultural shift to happen, however much we advocated for it.
So, actually, this was mostly a talk about realities as decided by the patients. Nothing was said about 'we find this works', only 'the patients said they thought this was important', and what the patients said was important was getting back to being active and being treated in a non-patronising way. The speaker deliberately removed 'exercise' from her programme and talked of activity - indicating that the issue was regaining what the patient wanted, not exercise per se.
I would argue that this could be considered rather a dangerous approach to treatment, depending on its context, and it's an approach that is causing us problems and one that we need to move away from. We're all too often told that if a patient feels better after a specific intervention then we can't argue with this, and that the patient knows best, and the intervention therefore worked. End of discussion. But this is medicine by anecdote, which is dangerous. It encourages quackery, and it can equate to quackery. Surely clinical trials tell us far more about graded activity programs than individual patient experience? We know that exercise programs do not lead to improvements in activity, let alone allowing a return to sports, so why was there a suggestion by the speaker that a graded activity program could return a patient to sports? This is the typical dangerous ill-informed nonsense that we're persistently fighting against. Chronic fatigue fluctuates by itself, and many fatigued patients improve over time, and many therapists seem to make a potentially dangerous assumption that their therapy caused the improvement. We see this time and time again, where therapists make assumptions about the value of their intervention. In the PACE trial, it was shown that 58-65% of participants in the control group improved naturally over time. This clearly came as a surprise to the authors who seem to have expected such an outcome for the main trial interventions (CBT/GET), and not the control group. We can't allow such ignorance to persist. (In fact only 11-15% of participants improved when CBT/GET were added to the control intervention - a figure I've yet to see published prominently, and I would hazard a guess that zero percent of therapists are aware of this outcome.)
Careful language is always used such that any complaint about the underlying therapeutic process would look unreasonable. Please don't be won over by the nice language used. We've got to use hard headed analysis.
I think perhaps the most important issue, in terms of how patients interact with the existing clinics, is the beliefs and attitude of the staff who run the clinics. If they genuinely care about their patients and accept that their therapies are not suitable for everyone, and that they can't help some patients, in terms of an improvement in symptoms and function, then that would at least be a good start. (They can still help patients in other ways.) But an insight into the actual value and potential harms of activity programs is essential for our community. We know that some of the people who run these clinics often believe that their psycho-social interventions actually address the underlying causes of illness, and believe that the therapies actually return a large proportion of patients to normal physical function despite firm evidence (e.g. PACE trial, FINE trial, NOD data, Wiborg et al) to the contrary. We also know that many of the therapists aren't aware of the actual outcomes of the PACE trial.
Also, we know that some staff at one clinic entertain the possibility that CFS is a culturally driven meme. The amount of wrong-headedness involved for a medical professional to even consider such an idea is breathtaking. Patients must surely not thrive at the hands of such "care givers". Hopefully such opinions are an unrepresentative minority, but we do come across it rather a lot. Also, as
@user9876 has pointed out, one large paediatric clinic is reported to have dubious practises whereby patients who don't respond positively to psycho-social interventions are rediagnosed as having pervasive refusal syndrome, (we assume) to make the stats look better for the clinic.
Hopefully there is progress, but please don't accept the use of language at face value. We're all far too familiar with how clever language can persuade the government and health authorities that ME patients just need a pat on the head.