Enterovirus surveillance data from Japan, spanning 15 years, is the basis of a mathematical model that can predict EV outbreaks 2 years ahead of time. Developed by researchers in the Dept. of Infectious Diseases Epidemiology, St. Mary's Campus, Imperial College London, it was published in Science, 24 Aug 2018 with commentary, "Enterovirus Outbreak Dynamics," by scientists at the Pasteur Institute, Paris. Contrary to most countries, "Enterovirus surveillance in Japan therefore captures the circulation of a broad range of serotypes and does it in a consistent and systematic way." Researchers "were able to explain infection dynamics for 18 of the 20 most prevalent serotypes in Japan with a single simple model." "In the future, models could be used to anticipate when the next enterovirus outbreak might occur, how large it will be, and which serotype might cause it." This would help clinicians detect cases and provide appropriate care; aid vaccine developers; and guide public health prevention programs. https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/30139872 https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/30139861 @charles shepherd might it be possible to ask these researchers about UK enterovirus surveillance data and if they're aware of links to past ME/CFS outbreaks?