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Do more people recover from chronic fatigue syndrome with CBT or GET than with other treatments?

user9876

Senior Member
Messages
4,556
We are probably not dealing merely with egos unable to admit mistakes, but with people having some sort of financial gain from CBT/GET being seen as useful treatment.

Its not just them as individuals. QMUL is responsible for ensuring the quality of the research and they (through the associated Barts hospital) have a business based on selling GET to the NHS, they employee people based on this. They spend 1/4 Million trying to suppress data from patients and are still spinning PACE results (along with Kings who sell CBT services to the NHS and Oxford). If this were to happen in other industries lawsuits would be talked about.
 

Barry53

Senior Member
Messages
2,391
Location
UK
"Our finding that 22% of participants recover from the current episode of CFS after either CBT or GET"

what is this supposed to mean when relating to a fluctuating illness?

eta.where's the sarcastic /this is rhetorical emoji?
You got there before me. I noticed the same thing. They seem to have added this in (in effect retrospectively revised their outcome on the sly again). If they move their own goalposts any further they will be lined up with the opposing team's!
 

Keith Geraghty

Senior Member
Messages
491
one observation is they have lost 15 authors from the list of 19 that replied to my PACE GATE editorial

could some of them be at the end of the pier thinking there's not much further we can go - prehaps back off

I was most assumed by their defence that its the literature that supports them - eh no, the trial itself should support itself - if you have to trawl the literature to search the friends and colleagues pages to find anything close to your own to justify your findings, youre pretty much on shakey grounds.

We can all have a debate about how recovery is defined - sure lets do it, why did you use the term recovery in the first place, did recovery mean a return to normal activity levels, nope, sound of loud buzzer

another amusement was them trying to claim that 'very much better' and 'much better' are better indicators of recovery than just 'very much better' alone --- I mean, are they having a laugh. "patient I give you 4 options, much worse, worse, better, very much better --- now you must think positively for CBT to work --- now answer my questions again. This is how their science works.
 

user9876

Senior Member
Messages
4,556
one observation is they have lost 15 authors from the list of 19 that replied to my PACE GATE editorial

Worth noting the trial statistician is still backing the recovery paper despite their statistical errors. Although it is interesting he didn't bother to defend his lack of care in setting thresholds using mean and SD where the SD clearly doesn't characterize the distribution. I would also note that he is from the MRC trial unit which does their brand no good.

I was most a
ssumed by their defence that its the literature that supports them - eh no, the trial itself should support itself - if you have to trawl the literature to search the friends and colleagues pages to find anything close to your own to justify your findings, youre pretty much on shakey grounds.

To fall back to the literature to defend methodology would be ok but it would read a bit like 'well they did it as well'. But to go back to the literature find similar results but with different methods is just perverse and makes no sense.
 

Barry53

Senior Member
Messages
2,391
Location
UK
No participant met our full criteria for recovery at baseline
As I said earlier, this is a completely meaningless claim.

If you are researching how to refill pots that are nearly empty, when they should still be full, then you must have some criteria of how empty the posts have to be on entry to your trial. Otherwise, how else can you demonstrate that your remedial actions successfully recovered a meaningful number of nearly empty pots to their full state.

Stating that none of the pots were in the recovered/full state on trial entry tells you nothing of any use at all. It allows the absurd possibility that some/many/all(!) of them could in fact be virtually full, needing only a teardrop or two to tip them across the threshold and then be deemed full. And what would that then prove in terms of trial outcome, efficacy of your remedial actions? Nothing of course - other than the trial was a waste of time. There has to be the notion of something tangible that must be achieved by the trial outcome, some significant change in condition between trial entry and its conclusion, that the remedial action must achieve.

So if the defence of entry criteria rests on asserting that no participant met the full recovery criteria at trial entry - that is pretty sad.
 
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Sean

Senior Member
Messages
7,378
So what they are basically saying is, we made sure we changed the criteria for recovery so our results would be in line with previous research - which was all small studies, mostly done by us, and using equally invalid measures...

Our finding that 22% of participants recover from the current episode of CFS after either CBT or GET, compared to 8% after adaptive pacing therapy and 7% after specialist medical care alone, is consistent with the literature.
So let me get this straight:

PACE was justified on the grounds that results in the existing literature were insufficiently robust and needed proper "definitive" testing. But when the results from PACE did not support those results from previous studies, nor hence the underlying theoretical model, the numbers were simply fiddled with until they did, and this was justified by saying the new numbers now agree with those previous studies, the same ones that were insufficiently robust enough that they provided the justification and necessity for the "definitive" PACE in the first place.

So the previous results being tested by PACE, because they were not robust enough, became the standard by which the results from PACE were determined to be robust or not.

Circularity City, or what.

Our finding that 22% of participants recover from the current episode of CFS after either CBT or GET
Now that is classic weasel words, desperately trying to skirt around the null long-term follow-up result.

another amusement was them trying to claim that 'very much better' and 'much better' are better indicators of recovery
Worse, they said on a previous occasion that it showed the "process of recovery". A novel interpretation, I think it fair to say.
 
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Esther12

Senior Member
Messages
13,774
Just got bugged by this again.

We changed these thresholds for our detailed analysis plan because,
after careful consideration and consultation, we concluded that they were simply too strin-
gent to capture clinically meaningful recovery [8].

Who did they consult with? Patients? Those whose careers were built on claiming CBT/GET lead to recovery?

When did they do this? After the Lancet paper came out, and in response to an FOI request for results for the protocol recovery criteria they said that these results were due to be released in a peer reviewed paper. When did they change their mind about this?

How can they claim that they were careful about this while failing to address the inaccuracies that they tried to use to justify their protocol deviations? Also, they dismissed as vexatious Matthee's attempt to get clarity on when the recovery criteria was changed: https://www.whatdotheyknow.com/request/timing_of_changes_to_pace_trial
 

Cheshire

Senior Member
Messages
1,129
We changed these thresholds for our detailed analysis plan because,
after careful consideration and consultation, we concluded that
- it would allow us to get the results we need,
- a level of functioning equal to that of people with heart disease is way sufficient for these CFS patients who are not sick after all and could do more if they just kicked their ass (seriously, they do not deserve better),
- and anyway after 30 years of us forming medical staff, nobody cares about these nutcases, everyone is convinced that CBT works and no one will bother to check.
[Satire]
 
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user9876

Senior Member
Messages
4,556
Just got bugged by this again.



Who did they consult with? Patients? Those whose careers were built on claiming CBT/GET lead to recovery?

When did they do this? After the Lancet paper came out, and in response to an FOI request for results for the protocol recovery criteria they said that these results were due to be released in a peer reviewed paper. When did they change their mind about this?

How can they claim that they were careful about this while failing to address the inaccuracies that they tried to use to justify their protocol deviations? Also, they dismissed as vexatious Matthee's attempt to get clarity on when the recovery criteria was changed: https://www.whatdotheyknow.com/request/timing_of_changes_to_pace_trial

When they say they were careful I think they mean they were careful to get the desired results not careful to be accurate.
 

user9876

Senior Member
Messages
4,556
They are still claiming a threshold of 60+ on the sf36 physical function scale means recovered. Here are the questions, each is answered with a limited by a lot, little or not at all with the different scores given.

The question is what sets of answers that add up to 60 would a normal person consider as recovered or healthy.

Scoring:
Yes, limited a lot = 0
Yes, limited a little = 5
No, not limited at all = 10

Questions:
1.Vigorous activities, such as running, lifting heavy objects, participating in strenuous sports
2.Moderate activities, such as moving a table, pushing a vacuum cleaner, bowling, or playing golf
3. Lifting or carrying groceries
4. Climbing several 0f lights of stairs
5. Climbing one flight of stairs
6. Bending, kneeling, or stooping
7. Walking more than a mile
8. Walking several blocks
9. Walking one block
10. Bathing or dressing yourself

So answers such as these count as recovered and score 60

I can't do vigorous activities, or moderate activities, or climb several flights of stairs or walk more than a mile
I can't do vigorous activities and I am limited in doing moderate activities, climbing several flights of stairs, walking more than a mile, walking several blocks, lifting groceries, climbing one flight of stairs

Its hard to see how a reasonable person could see such answers as recovered.

Even with higher scores it is difficult. There original threshold was 85 which is still quite low for someone who has recovered. I can see something like
I can't do vigorous activities, and I am limited in climbing several flights of stairs
As a reasonable answer for 85 and perhaps ok to consider as recovered depending on age. But even this threshold is a struggle.

When they talk about careful consideration they clearly didn't go as far as thinking through the semantics of their proposed thresholds and what they mean in terms of the activities that people can do.
 

Valentijn

Senior Member
Messages
15,786
Its hard to see how a reasonable person could see such answers as recovered.
To score 60, someone would have to be "limited a little" in 8 of the 10 responses. If we assume the more extended activities (versus flexibility/movement/strength) result in the most universal limitations in ME patients, then someone scoring 60 would be limited a little in:
1.Vigorous activities, such as running, lifting heavy objects, participating in strenuous sports
2.Moderate activities, such as moving a table, pushing a vacuum cleaner, bowling, or playing golf
4. Climbing several flights of stairs
5. Climbing one flight of stairs
7. Walking more than a mile
8. Walking several blocks
9. Walking one block
10. Bathing or dressing yourself
How recovered is a person who is even a little limited in walking one block and bathing? The PACE authors are either completely delusional or shameless liars.
 
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user9876

Senior Member
Messages
4,556
To score 60, someone would have to be "limited a little" in 8 of the 10 responses. If we assume the more extended activities (versus flexibility/movement/strength) result in the most universal limitations in ME patients, then someone scoring 60 would be limited a little in:

How recovered is a person who is even a little limited in walking one block and bathing? The PACE authors are either completely delusional or shameless liars.

Looking at the ONS data the people who score 5 or 10 tend to rate the " Bathing or dressing yourself" as the thing they can manage. Since this was a population survey then this would include a few with ME but mainly other disabilities/illnesses.

Your point on flexibility/movement/strength vs extended activities is a very interesting one. One of the properties that should be there for a scale is a consistent ordering. The fact different disabilities will lead to different answer sets shows the dangers of using a questionnaire as a scale.
 
Messages
83
When an ME sufferer is answering these questions is it from perspective of simply being able to perform the activity in isolation, or are they answering by including the impact of PEM.

e.g. Can you walk a block.
If answering yes the relevant points are allocated. However there is the payback impact with PEM, so while you can walk a block one day, you may end up in bed for the next several.

Or do they answer no because they have taken the PEM into consideration?