When the 'Holiday Season' Is No Holiday at all for Those With ME/CFS
Is December getting to you? Jody Smith shares some thoughts on some of the struggles that all too often attend this time of year ...
Discuss the article on the Forums.

Statistics watch: spotting 'sexy but unreliable' results

Discussion in 'Other Health News and Research' started by Simon, Jun 2, 2014.

  1. alex3619

    alex3619 Senior Member

    Messages:
    12,654
    Likes:
    35,754
    Logan, Queensland, Australia
    Understanding probability intuitively has been the focus of a lot of research in empirical economics. In many cases we form an opinion intuitively, then give reasons as to why its right. We don't form the opinions rationally, using math etc., then understand them intuitively. Probability and statistics professors who are tested (read Taleb or Kahneman etc. - spelling?) do well on the math, but ask them a real world problem and they typically get it wrong. This is empirically measurable.

    Intuition is high associative, and leads to confirmation bias.
     

See more popular forum discussions.

Share This Page