Just received a new message to say that there is a further free episode that will remain available for 48 hours.
It includes the problems with gardasil, after which a number of youngsters became ill and gave been given a diagnosis of ME.
http://www.vaccinesrevealed.com/episode-10-watch-now/?
Looking at:
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5209415/
Current Safety Concerns with Human Papillomavirus Vaccine: A Cluster Analysis of Reports in VigiBase®.
My understanding of the above paper is that the database in question has data about 10 million HPV vaccinations.
Looking at table 1, the total number of cases being referred to is 700.
Of these, the largest group (585), only 58% of them refer to fatigue as a symptom.
'Cluster 14' is a cluster which looks like CFS to me (they do not list PEM as a symptom) 100% have fatigue, 88% headache, 48% muscle weakness, 66% disturbance in attention.
This cluster has 83 patients in.
How many CFS patients would we expect in this population normally.
There are 10 million people, and if we assume that the effect is going to be within 3 months, that is 30 million people-months.
From the above-mentioned Norway study"The incidence rate of CFS/ME was 2.08 per 100,000 person-months at risk".
Or, around 600.
If the rate without HPV would be around 600, and the rate of the cluster that looks most CFS-like is 80, obvious problems arise. (counting all clusters they highlight, 700)
Crudely looking at cluster 14, and the largest cluster, and computing the number with fatigue as a symptom, we get to about 350 patients with adverse events that look like CFS.
Only if we assume that this is diagnosed and reported very fast does this rate exceed the number of cases of CFS you'd expect in the population.
Their 'risk ratio' is as I understand it also poor.
They are not measuring risk of developing a CFS-like illness per patient.
They are measuring the risk if you report an adverse event to a vaccine, what is the likelyhood your pattern of symptoms will fall in one of their categories.
This is very much not the same thing.
They mention 11 million HPV vaccinations, but fail to give numbers for the other vaccinations.
If it's signficantly more vaccinations given than 11 million, they run into the problem that CFS onset shortly after vaccination for other vaccines is not being picked up at the natural rate it occurs.
(or the other vaccine is protective for CFS).
If it's less, then their whole result goes away, because the numbers getting 'CFS' post vaccine are less for the HPV vaccine than their control.
Case reports are interesting, but the above study (and I am not aware of any better) fail to find that it actually increases risk of getting CFS.